The Publication
This publication presents monthly information on sales of new motor vehicles in each state/territory in original, seasonally adjusted and trend estimated terms. The original data are sourced from the Federal Chamber of Automotive Industries. Sales data are available for passenger vehicles, sports utility vehicles (SUVs), other vehicles and total vehicles at the state/territory and national levels.
NOVEMBER 2006 KEY POINTS
Trend
The November 2006 trend estimate (81, 049) increased 0.2% compared with the October 2006 estimate.
Passenger vehicle sales were stable in November compared with October, however all other vehicle types increased. The largest increase was recorded by sports utility vehicles at 1.3%.
All states and territories showed either a stable or positive monthly percentage change in their trend estimates, except for South Australia, from October 2006 to November 2006.
Seasonally adjusted
The November 2006 seasonally adjusted estimate for total sales of new motor vehicles (80,621) decreased 0.9% from the October 2006 estimate.
The largest decreases were recorded in the Northern Territory (9.8%), Victoria (2.6%) and New South Wales (2.1%).
Queensland, South Australia and the ACT were the only states and territories to record increases in monthly seasonally adjusted estimates, with the ACT recording the largest increase (4.2%).
Over this period all vehicle types decreased, with the largest recorded in the other vehicles category (1.7%).
New motor vehicles sales November 2006
| NSW | VIC | QLD | SA | WA | TAS.(a) | NT(a) | ACT(a) | AUST. |
Vehicle sales
|
| | | | | | | | | |
Seasonally adjusted | 24,472 | 19,810 | 18,229 | 4,924 | 9,535 | 1,653 | 752 | 1,246 | 80,621 |
Trend | 24,727 | 20,266 | 17,867 | 4,908 | 9,628 | 1,634 | 788 | 1,231 | 81,049 |
Percentage change from previous month
|
| | | | | | | | | |
Seasonally adjusted | -2.1 | -2.6 | 2.4 | 0.3 | -0.9 | -0.2 | -9.8 | 4.2 | -0.9 |
Trend | 0.5 | -0.0 | 0.3 | -0.5 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
Percentage change from previous year
|
| | | | | | | | | |
Seasonally adjusted | -0.5 | -7.9 | 5.2 | -7.1 | 7.7 | 14.3 | 4.2 | 4.4 | -0.4 |
Trend | -0.7 | -5.0 | 1.2 | -6.9 | 10.1 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 0.7 | -0.6 |
|
(a) Seasonally adjusted numbers of new motor vehicle sales in Tasmania, Northern Territory and Australian Capital Territory should be used with caution. For further information, see paragraph 7 of the Explanatory Notes.
NOTES
FORTHCOMING ISSUES
ISSUE | RELEASE DATE | |
| | |
December 2006 | 22 January 2006 | |
January 2006
February 2007 | 21 February 2007
21 March 2007 | |
March 2007 | 20 April 2007 | |
April 2007 | 22 May 2007 | |
May 2007 | 20 June 2007
| |
TREND REVISIONS
Trend estimates are likely to be revised when new seasonally adjusted estimates become available. For further information, see Explanatory Notes, paragraphs 11 and 12.
The graph below presents the effect of two possible scenarios on the previous trend estimates.
1 | The December 2006 seasonally adjusted estimate of total vehicle sales is higher than the November 2006 seasonally adjusted estimate by 3.4%. |
2 | The December 2006 seasonally adjusted estimate of total vehicle sales is lower than the November 2006 seasonally adjusted estimate by 3.4%. |
The percentage change of 3.4% was chosen because the average absolute percentage change over the last 10 years has been 3.4%.
SUMMARY - TREND AND SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATES.
Table 1: New motor vehicle sales by type of vehicle
| |
| | Passenger vehicles (No.) | Sports utility vehicles (No.) | Other vehicles (No.) | Total vehicles (No.) | Change passenger vehicles (%) | Change sports utility vehicles (%) | Change other vehicles (%) | Change total vehicles (%) | |
| |
Original | |
| |
2005 | September | 52 118 | 15 080 | 17 242 | 84 440 | -2.9 | -0.6 | -0.7 | -2.0 | |
| October | 48 434 | 12 503 | 15 181 | 76 118 | -7.1 | -17.1 | -12.0 | -9.9 | |
| November | 52 751 | 14 252 | 16 535 | 83 538 | 8.9 | 14.0 | 8.9 | 9.7 | |
| December | 47 945 | 15 046 | 16 286 | 79 277 | -9.1 | 5.6 | -1.5 | -5.1 | |
| | | | | | | | | | |
2006 | January | 43 761 | 13 251 | 12 991 | 70 003 | -8.7 | -11.9 | -20.2 | -11.7 | |
| February | 48 483 | 13 506 | 15 457 | 77 446 | 10.8 | 1.9 | 19.0 | 10.6 | |
| March | 53 188 | 15 896 | 18 072 | 87 156 | 9.7 | 17.7 | 16.9 | 12.5 | |
| April | 42 307 | 11 901 | 14 442 | 68 650 | -20.5 | -25.1 | -20.1 | -21.2 | |
| May | 50 683 | 14 816 | 17 958 | 83 457 | 19.8 | 24.5 | 24.3 | 21.6 | |
| June | 57 026 | 18 079 | 21 343 | 96 448 | 12.5 | 22.0 | 18.8 | 15.6 | |
| July | 48 798 | 13 279 | 15 485 | 77 562 | -14.4 | -26.6 | -27.4 | -19.6 | |
| August | 52 030 | 13 539 | 16 092 | 81 661 | 6.6 | 2.0 | 3.9 | 5.3 | |
| September | 51 388 | 13 208 | 15 397 | 79 993 | -1.2 | -2.4 | -4.3 | -2.0 | |
| October
November | 50 532
51 850 | 13 921
15 193 | 15 477
16 254 | 79 930
83 297 | -1.7
2.6 | 5.4
9.1 | 0.5
5.0 | -0.1
4.2 | |
| |
Seasonally adjusted | |
| |
2005 | September | 51 123 | 15 712 | 17 232 | 84 067 | -0.2 | 4.3 | -0.1 | 0.7 | |
| October | 49 015 | 13 923 | 16 159 | 79 097 | -4.1 | -11.4 | -6.2 | -5.9 | |
| November | 50 145 | 14 176 | 16 609 | 80 930 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 2.8 | 2.3 | |
| December | 49 774 | 14 956 | 16 783 | 81 513 | -0.7 | 5.5 | 1.0 | 0.7 | |
| | | | | | | | | | |
2006 | January | 51 327 | 14 579 | 16 929 | 82 835 | 3.1 | -2.5 | 0.9 | 1.6 | |
| February | 49 972 | 14 092 | 16 649 | 80 713 | -2.6 | -3.3 | -1.7 | -2.6 | |
| March | 48 615 | 13 975 | 16 568 | 79 158 | -2.7 | -0.8 | -0.5 | -1.9 | |
| April | 49 392 | 13 909 | 16 294 | 79 595 | 1.6 | -0.5 | -1.7 | 0.6 | |
| May | 49 533 | 13 978 | 16 337 | 79 848 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | |
| June | 48 857 | 14 309 | 15 605 | 78 771 | -1.4 | 2.4 | -4.5 | -1.3 | |
| July | 50 659 | 14 184 | 16 162 | 81 005 | 3.7 | -0.9 | 3.6 | 2.8 | |
| August | 50 172 | 13 038 | 15 934 | 79 144 | -1.0 | -8.1 | -1.4 | -2.3 | |
| September | 50 875 | 14 488 | 15 941 | 81 304 | 1.4 | 11.1 | 0.0 | 2.7 | |
| October | 50 054 | 15 030 | 16 261 | 81 345 | -1.6 | 3.7 | 2.0 | 0.1 | |
| November | 49 844 | 14 795 | 15 982 | 80 621 | -0.4 | -1.6 | -1.7 | -0.9 | |
| |
Trend | |
| |
2005 | September | 50 515 | 14 743 | 16 837 | 82 095 | -0.5 | -0.1 | -0.4 | -0.4 | |
| October | 50 309 | 14 694 | 16 771 | 81 774 | -0.4 | -0.3 | -0.4 | -0.4 | |
| November | 50 175 | 14 595 | 16 736 | 81 506 | -0.3 | -0.7 | -0.2 | -0.3 | |
| December | 50 081 | 14 458 | 16 720 | 81 259 | -0.2 | -0.9 | -0.1 | -0.3 | |
| | | | | | | | | | |
2006 | January | 49 950 | 14 318 | 16 696 | 80 964 | -0.3 | -1.0 | -0.1 | -0.4 | |
| February | 49 762 | 14 229 | 16 635 | 80 626 | -0.4 | -0.6 | -0.4 | -0.4 | |
| March | 49 552 | 14 149 | 16 524 | 80 225 | -0.4 | -0.6 | -0.7 | -0.5 | |
| April | 49 404 | 14 040 | 16 350 | 79 794 | -0.3 | -0.8 | -1.1 | -0.5 | |
| May | 49 421 | 13 934 | 16 163 | 79 518 | 0.0 | -0.8 | -1.1 | -0.3 | |
| June | 49 641 | 13 921 | 16 043 | 79 605 | 0.4 | -0.1 | -0.7 | 0.1 | |
| July | 49 945 | 13 999 | 15 992 | 79 936 | 0.6 | 0.6 | -0.3 | 0.4 | |
| August | 50 182 | 14 128 | 15 989 | 80 299 | 0.5 | 0.9 | -0.0 | 0.5 | |
| September | 50 295 | 14 300 | 16 006 | 80 601 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 0.4 | |
| October | 50 318 | 14 500 | 16 032 | 80 850 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 0.3 | |
| November | 50 303 | 14 690 | 16 056 | 81 049 | -0.0 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 0.2 | |
| |
| |
| | | | | | | | | | |
Table 2: New motor vehicle sales by state/territory of registration
| |
| | NSW | VIC. | QLD | SA | WA | TAS.(a) | NT(a) | ACT(a) | AUST. | |
| | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | |
| |
Original | |
| |
2005 | September | 25 457 | 22 044 | 18 344 | 5 243 | 9 125 | 2 151 | 793 | 1 283 | 84 440 | |
| October | 22 949 | 20 289 | 16 026 | 5 030 | 8 349 | 1 655 | 659 | 1 161 | 76 118 | |
| November | 25 716 | 22 428 | 17 181 | 5 500 | 9 107 | 1 667 | 690 | 1 249 | 83 538 | |
| December | 23 054 | 22 110 | 16 208 | 5 335 | 8 664 | 2 080 | 690 | 1 136 | 79 277 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
2006 | January | 21 995 | 17 876 | 15 107 | 4 380 | 7 604 | 1 295 | 616 | 1 130 | 70 003 | |
| February | 24 495 | 19 979 | 16 452 | 5 085 | 8 165 | 1 373 | 731 | 1 166 | 77 446 | |
| March | 27 165 | 21 461 | 19 833 | 5 195 | 9 750 | 1 540 | 913 | 1 299 | 87 156 | |
| April | 21 171 | 17 636 | 14 820 | 4 619 | 7 507 | 1 129 | 764 | 1 004 | 68 650 | |
| May | 25 124 | 20 776 | 18 774 | 5 601 | 9 472 | 1 623 | 863 | 1 224 | 83 457 | |
| June | 28 560 | 23 015 | 23 091 | 6 164 | 11 170 | 1 936 | 1 058 | 1 454 | 96 448 | |
| July | 23 688 | 19 322 | 17 910 | 4 794 | 8 720 | 1 334 | 679 | 1 115 | 77 562 | |
| August | 24 223 | 21 043 | 18 124 | 5 107 | 9 736 | 1 436 | 768 | 1 224 | 81 661 | |
| September | 24 267 | 20 449 | 17 061 | 4 903 | 9 716 | 1 688 | 682 | 1 227 | 79 993 | |
| October
November | 24 379
25 418 | 20 785
20 739 | 16 625
18 076 | 4 781
5 116 | 9 591
9 972 | 1 797
1 973 | 762
733 | 1 210
1 270 | 79 930
83 297 | |
| |
Seasonally adjusted | |
| |
2005 | September | 25 864 | 21 474 | 18 395 | 5315 | 8821 | 2054 | 848 | 1296 | 84 067 | |
| October | 23 789 | 20 658 | 17 458 | 5214 | 8495 | 1568 | 731 | 1184 | 79 097 | |
| November | 24 595 | 21 503 | 17 320 | 5300 | 8850 | 1446 | 722 | 1194 | 80 930 | |
| December | 24 809 | 21 663 | 17 498 | 5250 | 8778 | 1572 | 767 | 1176 | 81 513 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
2006 | January | 25 716 | 21 209 | 18 061 | 5334 | 8845 | 1588 | 812 | 1270 | 82 835 | |
| February | 25 096 | 20 942 | 17 245 | 5252 | 8547 | 1627 | 791 | 1213 | 80 713 | |
| March | 24 457 | 19 962 | 17 589 | 4832 | 8740 | 1601 | 771 | 1206 | 79 158 | |
| April | 24 173 | 20 456 | 17 374 | 5302 | 8861 | 1488 | 748 | 1193 | 79 595 | |
| May | 23 899 | 20 178 | 17 786 | 5254 | 9251 | 1591 | 741 | 1148 | 79 848 | |
| June | 23 959 | 19 434 | 17 519 | 5047 | 9081 | 1738 | 762 | 1231 | 78 771 | |
| July | 24 223 | 20 431 | 18 269 | 5140 | 9516 | 1513 | 741 | 1172 | 81 005 | |
| August | 23 882 | 20 181 | 17 276 | 4937 | 9451 | 1433 | 795 | 1189 | 79 144 | |
| September | 24 717 | 20 763 | 17 491 | 5018 | 9622 | 1684 | 764 | 1245 | 81 304 | |
| October | 24 999 | 20 329 | 17 804 | 4908 | 9619 | 1656 | 834 | 1196 | 81 345 | |
| November | 24 472 | 19 810 | 18 229 | 4924 | 9535 | 1653 | 752 | 1246 | 80 621 | |
| |
Trend | |
| |
2005 | September | 25 066 | 21 427 | 17 980 | 5263 | 8642 | 1668 | 794 | 1255 | 82 095 | |
| October | 24 953 | 21 391 | 17 792 | 5274 | 8718 | 1629 | 778 | 1239 | 81 774 | |
| November | 24 913 | 21 339 | 17 650 | 5273 | 8745 | 1594 | 769 | 1223 | 81 506 | |
| December | 24 912 | 21 249 | 17 555 | 5257 | 8738 | 1568 | 768 | 1212 | 81 259 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
2006 | January | 24 893 | 21 070 | 17 508 | 5227 | 8726 | 1560 | 772 | 1208 | 80 964 | |
| February | 24 816 | 20 808 | 17 509 | 5197 | 8745 | 1570 | 773 | 1208 | 80 626 | |
| March | 24 629 | 20 499 | 17 556 | 5174 | 8808 | 1584 | 771 | 1204 | 80 255 | |
| April | 24 348 | 20 220 | 17 602 | 5155 | 8919 | 1590 | 762 | 1198 | 79 794 | |
| May | 24 097 | 20 070 | 17 622 | 5135 | 9067 | 1582 | 755 | 1190 | 79 518 | |
| June | 24 021 | 20 079 | 17 642 | 5111 | 9233 | 1576 | 755 | 1188 | 79 605 | |
| July | 24 115 | 20 164 | 17 673 | 5076 | 9374 | 1578 | 762 | 1194 | 79 936 | |
| August | 24 285 | 20 243 | 17 700 | 5029 | 9477 | 1589 | 773 | 1203 | 80 299 | |
| September | 24 451 | 20 282 | 17 741 | 4980 | 9551 | 1604 | 780 | 1212 | 80 601 | |
| October | 24 600 | 20 276 | 17 807 | 4934 | 9604 | 1622 | 785 | 1222 | 80 850 | |
| November | 24 727 | 20 266 | 17 867 | 4908 | 9628 | 1634 | 788 | 1231 | 81 049 | |
| |
(a) Seasonally adjusted numbers of new motor vehicle sales in Tasmania, Northern Territory and Australian Capital Territory should be used with caution. For further information, see paragraph 7 of the Explanatory Notes. | |